Mathematics (2019) Grade(s): 7

MA19.7.15

Approximate the probability of an event using data generated by a simulation (experimental probability) and compare it to the theoretical probability.

Unpacked Content

Knowledge

Students know:
  • relative frequencies for experimental probabilities become closer to the theoretical probabilities over a large number of trials.
  • Theoretical probability is the likelihood of an event happening based on all possible outcomes.
  • long-run relative frequencies allow one to approximate the probability of a chance event and vice versa.

Skills

Students are able to:
  • approximate the probability of a chance event.
  • observe an event's long-run relative frequency.

Understanding

Students understand that:
  • real-world outcomes can be simulated using probability models and tools.

Vocabulary

  • Experimental probability
  • Simulation
  • Theoretical probability
  • Relative frequency
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